Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Jarnkrok shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Jarnkrok 51.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 79.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 61.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 59.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Jarnkrok
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
0
1
Horvat
Jarnkrok
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
52.6% (19)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
55.0% (20)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Horvat is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Horvat shoots left. Jarnkrok is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Home
59.4% (537)
63.2% (19)
Away
54.0% (544)
45.0% (20)
By Period
Horvat
Jarnkrok
P1
59.9%
50.0%
P2
54.5%
66.7%
P3
56.1%
46.2%
Final 5 min
59.4%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |