Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 23 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Jarnkrok shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Jarnkrok 48.1% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 23-21 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 67.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 68.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 56.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
21
(44 meetings)
23
21
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Jarnkrok
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
4
10
Horvat
Jarnkrok
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
17
6
Horvat
Jarnkrok
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
5
Horvat
Jarnkrok
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
49.2% (3,357)
+4.7%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
51.9% (258)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
40.4% (643)
+6.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,987).
Home / Away
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Home
56.1% (8,423)
50.5% (2,262)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
45.3% (1,996)
By Period
Horvat
Jarnkrok
P1
54.1%
47.7%
P2
54.5%
48.0%
P3
55.0%
48.8%
OT
49.6%
40.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:11 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |