Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings). Horvat wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Coyle 50.5% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 27-16 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 98.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 69.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 89.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Horvat
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
16
(43 meetings)
27
16
Horvat
Coyle
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
14
5
Horvat
Coyle
19 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Horvat
Coyle
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
5
Horvat
Coyle
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
52.3% (853)
+3.4%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
44.4% (63)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
44.5% (191)
+4.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Horvat is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Horvat shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Horvat
Coyle
Home
59.4% (537)
49.0% (567)
Away
54.0% (544)
52.0% (540)
By Period
Horvat
Coyle
P1
59.9%
49.5%
P2
54.5%
49.4%
P3
56.1%
52.6%
OT
55.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
59.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 12:06 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 19:28 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 28, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |