Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 55 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Coyle 48.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 80-51 in 131 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 95.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 87.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 89.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 91.3%
91.3%
8.7%
Horvat
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
80
-
51
(131 meetings)
80
51
Horvat
Coyle
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
36
19
Horvat
Coyle
55 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
25
19
Horvat
Coyle
44 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
19
13
Horvat
Coyle
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
49.4% (7,898)
+4.5%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
50.0% (794)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
43.5% (1,100)
+3.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Home / Away
Horvat
Coyle
Home
56.1% (8,423)
49.8% (4,865)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
47.9% (4,927)
By Period
Horvat
Coyle
P1
54.1%
49.5%
P2
54.5%
48.3%
P3
55.0%
48.8%
OT
49.6%
49.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 12:06 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 19:28 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 28, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |