Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dewar shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Dewar 47.1% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 52.0%
Defensive zone
Dewar 89.3%
Neutral zone
Dewar 75.4%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 82.4%
17.6%
82.4%
Horvat
Dewar
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Horvat
Dewar
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
0
1
Horvat
Dewar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
0
1
Horvat
Dewar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Dewar
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
49.1% (57)
+6.6%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
100.0% (1)
-36.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
32.3% (31)
+16.3%
On power play, Dewar has a +36.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dewar shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Dewar is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Home / Away
Horvat
Dewar
Home
59.4% (537)
50.0% (34)
Away
54.0% (544)
40.0% (55)
By Period
Horvat
Dewar
P1
59.9%
46.7%
P2
54.5%
30.0%
P3
56.1%
59.3%
OT
55.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 10:37 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |