Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dewar shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Dewar 45.5% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Dewar leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 75.5%
Defensive zone
Dewar 71.3%
Neutral zone
Dewar 54.3%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Horvat
Dewar
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Horvat
Dewar
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Dewar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Dewar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
4
Horvat
Dewar
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Dewar
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Dewar
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
45.4% (1,037)
+8.5%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
60.9% (23)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
41.7% (199)
+5.5%
On even strength, Horvat has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dewar shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Dewar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Horvat
Dewar
Home
56.1% (8,423)
43.8% (603)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
46.3% (656)
By Period
Horvat
Dewar
P1
54.1%
43.7%
P2
54.5%
46.7%
P3
55.0%
45.0%
OT
49.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 10:37 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 16:15 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:14 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 12:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |