Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs McMichael 43.9% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 97.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 81.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 95.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 93.5%
93.5%
6.5%
Horvat
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
Horvat
McMichael
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
9
2
Horvat
McMichael
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
3
Horvat
McMichael
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat
McMichael
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
42.9% (408)
+12.8%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
49.1% (55)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
39.0% (105)
+9.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. McMichael is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Horvat
McMichael
Home
59.4% (537)
43.0% (298)
Away
54.0% (544)
42.6% (270)
By Period
Horvat
McMichael
P1
59.9%
46.6%
P2
54.5%
40.8%
P3
56.1%
41.8%
Final 5 min
59.4%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 18:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 17:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |