Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs McMichael 43.3% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 90.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 89.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 89.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 90.0%
90.0%
10.0%
Horvat
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
11
(27 meetings)
16
11
Horvat
McMichael
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
10
4
Horvat
McMichael
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
5
Horvat
McMichael
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat
McMichael
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
43.3% (1,583)
+10.6%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
46.0% (139)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
37.5% (176)
+9.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. McMichael is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,261).
Home / Away
Horvat
McMichael
Home
56.1% (8,423)
42.6% (976)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
43.3% (922)
By Period
Horvat
McMichael
P1
54.1%
43.3%
P2
54.5%
43.1%
P3
55.0%
42.1%
OT
49.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 18:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 17:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |