Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.7% vs 55.9%). Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings). Horvat wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Lindholm 55.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 56.3%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 59.9%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 52.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Horvat
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
Horvat
Lindholm
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
5
8
Horvat
Lindholm
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
4
Horvat
Lindholm
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Lindholm
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
54.8% (766)
+0.9%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
62.3% (175)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
52.2% (92)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Horvat is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Horvat shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Horvat
Lindholm
Home
59.4% (537)
56.6% (578)
Away
54.0% (544)
54.9% (455)
By Period
Horvat
Lindholm
P1
59.9%
55.2%
P2
54.5%
56.3%
P3
56.1%
56.3%
OT
55.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |