Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 53.9%). Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 97 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Lindholm 53.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 128-127 in 255 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 57.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 56.8%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 56.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Horvat
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
128
-
127
(255 meetings)
128
127
Horvat
Lindholm
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
52
46
Horvat
Lindholm
98 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
41
56
Horvat
Lindholm
97 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
35
25
Horvat
Lindholm
60 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
53.8% (8,549)
+0.1%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
59.4% (1,745)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
48.3% (1,619)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,165).
Home / Away
Horvat
Lindholm
Home
56.1% (8,423)
54.2% (5,980)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
53.6% (5,933)
By Period
Horvat
Lindholm
P1
54.1%
54.2%
P2
54.5%
54.5%
P3
55.0%
53.0%
OT
49.6%
53.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |