Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Finley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Finley 50.2% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Finley 53.6%
Defensive zone
Finley 90.3%
Neutral zone
Finley 73.1%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 80.1%
19.9%
80.1%
Horvat
Finley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Horvat
Finley
Last 7: Horvat 2-5 Finley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Finley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
0
4
Horvat
Finley
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Finley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Finley
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
50.2% (279)
+5.5%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
50.0% (14)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
51.5% (33)
-2.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Finley shoots right. Horvat is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Horvat shoots left. Finley is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Horvat
Finley
Home
59.4% (537)
53.8% (199)
Away
54.0% (544)
44.9% (127)
By Period
Horvat
Finley
P1
59.9%
52.8%
P2
54.5%
47.5%
P3
56.1%
51.3%
OT
55.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Jack Finley |