Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Finley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Finley 50.8% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Finley 64.3%
Defensive zone
Finley 80.7%
Neutral zone
Finley 73.4%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
Horvat
Finley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Horvat
Finley
Last 7: Horvat 2-5 Finley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Finley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
0
4
Horvat
Finley
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Finley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Finley
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,637)
50.9% (275)
+3.0%
Power Play
61.1% (2,711)
50.0% (14)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,497)
53.1% (32)
-5.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Finley shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,115).
Horvat shoots left. Finley is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Horvat
Finley
Home
56.1% (8,401)
53.8% (199)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
46.7% (122)
By Period
Horvat
Finley
P1
54.1%
54.7%
P2
54.4%
47.4%
P3
55.0%
52.1%
OT
49.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Finley
64.0%▲
53.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Jack Finley |