Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Finley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Finley 50.7% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Finley 51.4%
Defensive zone
Finley 90.1%
Neutral zone
Finley 72.0%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 79.4%
20.6%
79.4%
Horvat
Finley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Horvat
Finley
Last 7: Horvat 2-5 Finley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Finley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
0
4
Horvat
Finley
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Finley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Finley
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (713)
50.7% (270)
+4.7%
Power Play
63.2% (242)
50.0% (14)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
53.1% (32)
-5.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Finley shoots right. Horvat is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Horvat shoots left. Finley is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Horvat
Finley
Home
59.0% (515)
53.8% (199)
Away
54.0% (544)
46.2% (117)
By Period
Horvat
Finley
P1
59.6%
54.7%
P2
53.9%
47.4%
P3
56.2%
51.8%
OT
55.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Finley
64.0%▲
53.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Jack Finley |