Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Evans 55.0% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 90.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 67.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 62.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Horvat
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Horvat
Evans
Last 7: Horvat 5-2 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Horvat
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
55.6% (522)
+0.1%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
72.7% (11)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
55.2% (210)
-6.6%
On power play, Evans has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Horvat is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Horvat shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Horvat
Evans
Home
59.4% (537)
54.7% (402)
Away
54.0% (544)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Horvat
Evans
P1
59.9%
57.9%
P2
54.5%
55.2%
P3
56.1%
53.6%
OT
55.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |