Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 45 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Evans 52.2% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 64-36 in 100 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 96.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 56.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 78.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Horvat
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
64
-
36
(100 meetings)
64
36
Horvat
Evans
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
42
3
Horvat
Evans
45 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
8
22
Horvat
Evans
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
14
11
Horvat
Evans
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,637)
53.7% (3,740)
+0.2%
Power Play
61.1% (2,711)
60.6% (71)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,497)
47.1% (1,228)
+0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,115).
Horvat shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Home / Away
Horvat
Evans
Home
56.1% (8,401)
53.3% (2,621)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
51.0% (2,418)
By Period
Horvat
Evans
P1
54.1%
54.0%
P2
54.4%
50.9%
P3
55.0%
52.0%
OT
49.6%
46.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2025 | OT | 01:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 19, 2024 | OT | 01:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 19, 2024 | OT | 01:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |