Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Toews 60.4% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 52.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 50.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 53.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Horvat
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Horvat
Toews
Last 5: Horvat 2-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Horvat
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (713)
62.6% (728)
-7.2%
Power Play
63.2% (242)
59.4% (143)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
46.9% (32)
+1.2%
On even strength, Toews has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Horvat is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Horvat shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Horvat
Toews
Home
59.0% (515)
61.1% (455)
Away
54.0% (544)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Horvat
Toews
P1
59.6%
59.7%
P2
53.9%
66.7%
P3
56.2%
58.4%
OT
55.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |