Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Norris 51.9% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 78.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 57.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 64.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Horvat
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Horvat
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Norris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
52.2% (542)
+1.3%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
54.4% (57)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
46.7% (30)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Horvat
Norris
Home
54.2% (714)
50.7% (351)
Away
53.6% (705)
54.0% (278)
By Period
Horvat
Norris
P1
53.5%
55.6%
P2
56.3%
49.3%
P3
53.5%
52.1%
OT
28.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
53.9%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Josh Norris |