Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 29 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Norris 52.1% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 39-36 in 75 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 58.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 57.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 55.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Horvat
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
36
(75 meetings)
39
36
Horvat
Norris
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
17
12
Horvat
Norris
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
11
9
Horvat
Norris
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
11
15
Horvat
Norris
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
52.5% (3,089)
+1.4%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
53.4% (412)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
45.4% (240)
+1.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,419).
Home / Away
Horvat
Norris
Home
56.1% (8,423)
53.1% (1,896)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Horvat
Norris
P1
54.1%
55.5%
P2
54.5%
51.5%
P3
55.0%
50.1%
OT
49.6%
39.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 15:59 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 16:53 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |