Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Stenlund 54.2% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 89.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 71.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 67.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Horvat
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Horvat
Stenlund
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Stenlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
4
Horvat
Stenlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Stenlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
56.2% (650)
-0.5%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
53.2% (47)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
51.6% (312)
-3.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Horvat is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Horvat shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stenlund
Home
59.4% (537)
56.9% (483)
Away
54.0% (544)
52.5% (526)
By Period
Horvat
Stenlund
P1
59.9%
54.2%
P2
54.5%
53.2%
P3
56.1%
56.9%
OT
55.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
59.4%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 09:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |