Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.0%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (96% H2H, 25 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Stenlund 53.9% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 31-15 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 92.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 54.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 70.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Horvat
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
15
(46 meetings)
31
15
Horvat
Stenlund
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
24
1
Horvat
Stenlund
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
13
Horvat
Stenlund
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
1
Horvat
Stenlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,637)
55.3% (2,738)
-1.4%
Power Play
61.1% (2,711)
52.6% (116)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,497)
50.4% (924)
-3.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,115).
Horvat shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stenlund
Home
56.1% (8,401)
54.3% (1,873)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
53.8% (1,905)
By Period
Horvat
Stenlund
P1
54.1%
56.2%
P2
54.4%
53.3%
P3
55.0%
53.0%
OT
49.6%
52.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 09:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |