Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.7% vs 56.9%). Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 61.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 65.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 52.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Horvat
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Horvat
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Horvat
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
55.9% (835)
-0.2%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
61.8% (228)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
50.0% (40)
-1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Home / Away
Horvat
Draisaitl
Home
59.4% (537)
55.1% (508)
Away
54.0% (544)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Horvat
Draisaitl
P1
59.9%
55.8%
P2
54.5%
55.7%
P3
56.1%
59.0%
OT
55.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |