Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 110 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 125-123 in 248 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 65.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 56.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 56.6%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Horvat
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
123
-
125
(248 meetings)
123
125
Horvat
Draisaitl
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
47
63
Horvat
Draisaitl
110 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
50
39
Horvat
Draisaitl
89 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
26
23
Horvat
Draisaitl
49 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
52.9% (10,240)
+1.0%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
55.7% (2,827)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
51.2% (977)
-4.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Home / Away
Horvat
Draisaitl
Home
56.1% (8,423)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Horvat
Draisaitl
P1
54.1%
52.7%
P2
54.5%
53.6%
P3
55.0%
53.4%
OT
49.6%
57.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 14, 2025 | OT | 02:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |