Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Kastelic 58.1% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Kastelic leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 84.2%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 79.0%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 53.1%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Horvat
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Horvat
Kastelic
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Kastelic
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
5
Horvat
Kastelic
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
60.8% (362)
-5.1%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
83.3% (6)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
56.2% (146)
-7.6%
On power play, Kastelic has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Horvat is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Horvat shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kastelic
Home
59.4% (537)
60.3% (242)
Away
54.0% (544)
59.2% (272)
By Period
Horvat
Kastelic
P1
59.9%
58.9%
P2
54.5%
57.3%
P3
56.1%
64.0%
OT
55.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
59.4%
66.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 03:51 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 16:14 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |