Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 81.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 75.6%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 55.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Horvat
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Horvat
Kastelic
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
9
0
Horvat
Kastelic
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
9
Horvat
Kastelic
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
57.0% (1,635)
-3.1%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
80.0% (25)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
53.8% (279)
-6.6%
On power play, Kastelic has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,445).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kastelic
Home
56.1% (8,423)
58.7% (904)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
55.2% (1,035)
By Period
Horvat
Kastelic
P1
54.1%
58.6%
P2
54.5%
56.5%
P3
55.0%
55.6%
OT
49.6%
53.8%
Final 5 min
55.2%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 03:51 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 16:14 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 15:43 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 08:35 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |