Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 69.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 61.9%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 57.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Horvat
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Horvat
Scheifele
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
4
Horvat
Scheifele
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
46.5% (919)
+9.2%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
48.7% (187)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
50.0% (54)
-1.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Horvat is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Horvat shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
Horvat
Scheifele
Home
59.4% (537)
46.6% (605)
Away
54.0% (544)
47.4% (555)
By Period
Horvat
Scheifele
P1
59.9%
52.3%
P2
54.5%
45.3%
P3
56.1%
43.9%
OT
55.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
59.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:50 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |