Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 95 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Scheifele 46.8% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 133-106 in 239 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 66.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 90.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 86.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
Horvat
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
133
-
106
(239 meetings)
133
106
Horvat
Scheifele
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
37
41
Horvat
Scheifele
78 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
58
37
Horvat
Scheifele
95 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
38
28
Horvat
Scheifele
66 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
46.3% (12,077)
+7.6%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
50.2% (2,576)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
41.6% (598)
+5.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,862).
Home / Away
Horvat
Scheifele
Home
56.1% (8,423)
48.9% (7,678)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
44.7% (7,574)
By Period
Horvat
Scheifele
P1
54.1%
48.2%
P2
54.5%
45.6%
P3
55.0%
46.8%
OT
49.6%
42.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:50 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:39 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |