Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs McTavish 49.1% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 69.4%
Defensive zone
McTavish 71.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 68.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Horvat
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Horvat
McTavish
Last 6: Horvat 2-4 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Horvat
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
2
Horvat
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
47.6% (618)
+8.1%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
58.3% (103)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
33.3% (6)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. McTavish is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Horvat
McTavish
Home
59.4% (537)
52.2% (391)
Away
54.0% (544)
45.2% (336)
By Period
Horvat
McTavish
P1
59.9%
50.2%
P2
54.5%
47.7%
P3
56.1%
49.2%
OT
55.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |