Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs McTavish 48.7% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 88.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 95.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 82.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 90.0%
90.0%
10.0%
Horvat
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Horvat
McTavish
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
McTavish
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Horvat
McTavish
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
0
Horvat
McTavish
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
48.2% (2,790)
+5.7%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
52.8% (436)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
34.3% (35)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. McTavish is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,158).
Home / Away
Horvat
McTavish
Home
56.1% (8,423)
49.8% (1,680)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
47.4% (1,581)
By Period
Horvat
McTavish
P1
54.1%
50.0%
P2
54.5%
47.7%
P3
55.0%
48.4%
OT
49.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 05:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:06 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:25 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |