Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 52.2%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 51.3% vs Duchene 52.0% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 63.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 60.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 63.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Horvat
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Duchene
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (743)
52.6% (1,081)
-0.5%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
49.6% (119)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (78)
41.2% (17)
+3.7%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Horvat is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Horvat shoots left. Duchene is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Home / Away
Horvat
Duchene
Home
53.1% (420)
54.9% (625)
Away
49.8% (428)
49.3% (592)
By Period
Horvat
Duchene
P1
52.4%
52.7%
P2
49.3%
54.1%
P3
52.8%
49.5%
OT
42.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.0%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
51.4%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 06:06 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |