Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Duchene 51.8% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 59.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 53.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 52.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Horvat
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
51.1% (366)
+4.6%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
61.5% (65)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
16.7% (6)
+31.9%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Horvat
Duchene
Home
59.4% (537)
51.7% (201)
Away
54.0% (544)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Horvat
Duchene
P1
59.9%
49.0%
P2
54.5%
57.1%
P3
56.1%
49.2%
OT
55.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%