Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs McCarron 53.4% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Horvat 72.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 69.0%
Neutral zone
McCarron 59.3%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Horvat
McCarron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
57.5% (308)
-1.9%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
50.0% (2)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
32.6% (43)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Horvat
McCarron
Home
58.8% (724)
48.3% (147)
Away
55.3% (751)
58.7% (206)
By Period
Horvat
McCarron
P1
57.0%
53.4%
P2
57.5%
59.5%
P3
57.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
57.0%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
54.4%