Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs McCarron 52.1% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 92.8%
Defensive zone
McCarron 71.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 61.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Horvat
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Horvat
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
52.8% (697)
+2.9%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
18.2% (11)
+45.2%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
52.6% (211)
-4.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +45.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Horvat is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Horvat shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Horvat
McCarron
Home
59.4% (537)
52.8% (477)
Away
54.0% (544)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Horvat
McCarron
P1
59.9%
56.2%
P2
54.5%
52.4%
P3
56.1%
48.7%
OT
55.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |