Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Backlund 49.8% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 79.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 80.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Horvat
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Horvat
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Horvat
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
50.5% (944)
+5.2%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
51.5% (66)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
47.1% (297)
+1.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Horvat
Backlund
Home
59.4% (537)
48.1% (636)
Away
54.0% (544)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Horvat
Backlund
P1
59.9%
45.4%
P2
54.5%
54.1%
P3
56.1%
49.2%
OT
55.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
59.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |