Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 72 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Backlund 49.0% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 111-68 in 179 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 96.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 79.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 90.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Horvat
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
111
-
68
(179 meetings)
111
68
Horvat
Backlund
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
50
22
Horvat
Backlund
72 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
36
27
Horvat
Backlund
63 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
25
19
Horvat
Backlund
44 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
49.7% (13,463)
+4.2%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
51.5% (1,338)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
43.9% (2,465)
+3.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Home / Away
Horvat
Backlund
Home
56.1% (8,423)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
Horvat
Backlund
P1
54.1%
48.5%
P2
54.5%
50.3%
P3
55.0%
48.4%
OT
49.6%
45.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:02 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:21 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 15:59 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 15:28 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |