Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stephens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Stephens 53.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 70.1%
Defensive zone
Stephens 68.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 51.3%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Horvat
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Horvat
Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
0
1
Horvat
Stephens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
56.6% (122)
-3.1%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
0.0% (1)
+56.3%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
50.0% (12)
+1.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Stephens is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stephens
Home
54.2% (714)
52.9% (68)
Away
53.6% (705)
58.2% (67)
By Period
Horvat
Stephens
P1
53.5%
56.7%
P2
56.3%
46.3%
P3
53.5%
64.7%
Final 5 min
52.3%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 03:05 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |