Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stephens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Stephens 52.4% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephens 59.0%
Defensive zone
Stephens 80.5%
Neutral zone
Stephens 68.6%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Horvat
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Horvat
Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
0
1
Horvat
Stephens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephens
0
2
Horvat
Stephens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
57.0% (135)
+1.6%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
0.0% (5)
+60.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
50.0% (54)
-4.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +60.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Horvat shoots left. Stephens is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stephens
Home
59.2% (684)
53.9% (89)
Away
57.0% (635)
53.3% (105)
By Period
Horvat
Stephens
P1
57.9%
47.4%
P2
55.4%
57.7%
P3
61.5%
57.4%
Final 5 min
60.9%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
58.2%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:05 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |