Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Barron 46.8% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 97.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 52.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 89.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 92.7%
92.7%
7.3%
Horvat
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Barron
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Barron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Barron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (713)
48.6% (381)
+6.8%
Power Play
63.2% (242)
33.3% (3)
+29.9%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
41.7% (187)
+6.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Horvat is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Horvat shoots left. Barron is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Horvat
Barron
Home
59.0% (515)
44.4% (306)
Away
54.0% (544)
48.3% (265)
By Period
Horvat
Barron
P1
59.6%
45.5%
P2
53.9%
49.8%
P3
56.2%
43.1%
OT
55.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.6%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |