Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Barron 48.0% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 97.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 73.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 89.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 89.3%
89.3%
10.7%
Horvat
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Horvat
Barron
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Barron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Barron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
2
3
Horvat
Barron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,637)
49.4% (741)
+4.5%
Power Play
61.1% (2,711)
50.0% (6)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,497)
42.3% (222)
+4.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,730).
Horvat shoots left. Barron is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Horvat
Barron
Home
56.1% (8,401)
45.2% (480)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
50.3% (489)
By Period
Horvat
Barron
P1
54.1%
48.0%
P2
54.4%
50.7%
P3
55.0%
44.7%
OT
49.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 03:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |