Bo Horvat vs Nathan MacKinnon

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Bo Horvat holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Horvat 55.9% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (+5.4%)
H2H factor Horvat leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone Horvat 68.6%
Defensive zone Horvat 91.6%
Neutral zone Horvat 83.4%
Result Bo Horvat favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Horvat MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
13 - 6 (19 meetings)
13
6
Horvat MacKinnon
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat MacKinnon
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
4
Horvat MacKinnon
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat MacKinnon
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Horvat
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (713)
49.7% (1,029)
+5.7%
Power Play
63.2% (242)
64.3% (154)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
34.4% (32)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +13.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Horvat is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Horvat shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (876).
Home / Away
Horvat
MacKinnon
Home
59.0% (515)
53.1% (606)
Away
54.0% (544)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Horvat
MacKinnon
P1
59.6%
49.4%
P2
53.9%
52.8%
P3
56.2%
50.8%
OT
55.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.6%
56.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%
56.5%
56.5%
MacKinnon
44.0%
51.5%
51.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 4, 2025 3 14:30 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 4, 2025 3 14:22 Offensive Bo Horvat
Dec 4, 2025 3 11:43 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 4, 2025 3 06:06 Offensive Bo Horvat
Dec 4, 2025 3 05:56 Defensive Bo Horvat
Dec 4, 2025 3 00:45 Neutral Bo Horvat
Dec 4, 2025 2 18:02 Neutral Bo Horvat
Dec 4, 2025 2 11:06 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 4, 2025 2 01:47 Defensive Bo Horvat
Dec 4, 2025 1 18:20 Neutral Bo Horvat
Dec 4, 2025 1 16:57 Defensive Bo Horvat
Dec 4, 2025 1 09:13 Offensive Bo Horvat
Dec 4, 2025 1 03:49 Neutral Bo Horvat
Dec 4, 2025 1 03:34 Offensive Bo Horvat
Nov 16, 2025 3 15:55 Defensive Bo Horvat
Nov 16, 2025 3 11:15 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 16, 2025 3 06:17 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 16, 2025 2 14:35 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 16, 2025 2 10:39 Defensive Bo Horvat