Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Foligno 49.9% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 79.0%
Defensive zone
Foligno 50.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 60.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Horvat
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Horvat
Foligno
Last 9: Horvat 5-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
3
Horvat
Foligno
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
49.5% (291)
+6.2%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
55.8% (43)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
47.2% (53)
+1.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Horvat
Foligno
Home
59.4% (537)
48.9% (178)
Away
54.0% (544)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Horvat
Foligno
P1
59.9%
43.0%
P2
54.5%
55.9%
P3
56.1%
50.0%
OT
55.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | OT | 04:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |