Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Foligno 48.6% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 82.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 94.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 89.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 89.8%
89.8%
10.2%
Horvat
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
9
(25 meetings)
16
9
Horvat
Foligno
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
2
Horvat
Foligno
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
5
Horvat
Foligno
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat
Foligno
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
48.3% (2,840)
+5.6%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
52.3% (731)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
44.0% (457)
+3.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Foligno is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,512).
Home / Away
Horvat
Foligno
Home
56.1% (8,423)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
47.2% (2,017)
By Period
Horvat
Foligno
P1
54.1%
47.8%
P2
54.5%
50.5%
P3
55.0%
48.2%
OT
49.6%
29.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | OT | 04:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |