Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 73.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 58.4%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 62.1%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Horvat
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Horvat
Schmaltz
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
4
Horvat
Schmaltz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Schmaltz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Schmaltz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
45.9% (697)
+9.8%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
47.9% (117)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
48.0% (25)
+0.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Horvat is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Horvat shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Horvat
Schmaltz
Home
59.4% (537)
44.9% (434)
Away
54.0% (544)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Horvat
Schmaltz
P1
59.9%
41.5%
P2
54.5%
46.7%
P3
56.1%
51.1%
OT
55.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 15:28 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 16:19 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:37 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |