Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 80.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 64.6%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 63.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Horvat
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
17
(32 meetings)
15
17
Horvat
Schmaltz
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
9
Horvat
Schmaltz
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
10
4
Horvat
Schmaltz
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Horvat
Schmaltz
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
41.3% (3,431)
+12.6%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
47.3% (655)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
47.4% (135)
-0.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Home / Away
Horvat
Schmaltz
Home
56.1% (8,423)
42.8% (2,114)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
42.0% (2,107)
By Period
Horvat
Schmaltz
P1
54.1%
41.3%
P2
54.5%
42.8%
P3
55.0%
43.1%
OT
49.6%
42.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 15:28 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 16:19 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:37 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |