Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Cates 45.5% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 75.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 73.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 71.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Horvat
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Horvat
Cates
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
4
Horvat
Cates
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Cates
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
45.5% (756)
+10.2%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
42.1% (114)
+21.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
44.7% (47)
+3.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Horvat
Cates
Home
59.4% (537)
46.2% (468)
Away
54.0% (544)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Horvat
Cates
P1
59.9%
46.0%
P2
54.5%
47.5%
P3
56.1%
42.1%
OT
55.0%
18.2%
Final 5 min
59.4%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |