Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 31 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Cates 43.2% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 39-30 in 69 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 91.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 84.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 86.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Horvat
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
30
(69 meetings)
39
30
Horvat
Cates
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
23
8
Horvat
Cates
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
7
12
Horvat
Cates
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
9
10
Horvat
Cates
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
44.1% (2,786)
+9.8%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
42.9% (254)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
34.9% (373)
+12.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,307).
Home / Away
Horvat
Cates
Home
56.1% (8,423)
43.9% (1,708)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
42.2% (1,705)
By Period
Horvat
Cates
P1
54.1%
44.5%
P2
54.5%
43.7%
P3
55.0%
41.2%
OT
49.6%
29.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 10:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |