Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +20.3% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Kelly 41.4% (+20.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 58.9%
Defensive zone
Kelly 56.0%
Neutral zone
Kelly 62.0%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Horvat
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Horvat
Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Horvat
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
36.5% (159)
+19.2%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
0.0% (1)
+63.4%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
38.5% (13)
+10.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +63.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Kelly is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kelly
Home
59.4% (537)
35.4% (79)
Away
54.0% (544)
37.2% (94)
By Period
Horvat
Kelly
P1
59.9%
33.8%
P2
54.5%
36.5%
P3
56.1%
39.6%
Final 5 min
59.4%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |