Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Greig 51.1% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 73.0%
Defensive zone
Greig 75.5%
Neutral zone
Greig 54.7%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Horvat
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Horvat
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Greig
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
0
2
Horvat
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
51.9% (347)
+3.8%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
66.7% (24)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
44.8% (87)
+3.8%
On even strength, Horvat has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Horvat
Greig
Home
59.4% (537)
50.4% (254)
Away
54.0% (544)
52.5% (204)
By Period
Horvat
Greig
P1
59.9%
45.9%
P2
54.5%
60.1%
P3
56.1%
49.2%
OT
55.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |