Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Greig 49.0% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 93.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 71.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 88.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Horvat
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Horvat
Greig
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Greig
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Greig
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Greig
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
48.7% (1,144)
+5.2%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
56.8% (74)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
47.2% (178)
+0.0%
On even strength, Horvat has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Horvat
Greig
Home
56.1% (8,423)
49.9% (688)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
48.0% (708)
By Period
Horvat
Greig
P1
54.1%
46.0%
P2
54.5%
51.8%
P3
55.0%
49.1%
OT
49.6%
28.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 15:22 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |