Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+10.3%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 51.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
46.0% (250)
+9.7%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
70.6% (17)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
31.8% (22)
+16.8%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
59.4% (537)
50.3% (175)
Away
54.0% (544)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
59.9%
48.5%
P2
54.5%
45.9%
P3
56.1%
46.5%
OT
55.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%