Bo Horvat vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 54 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 80-62 in 142 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 87.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 90.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 87.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
80
-
62
(142 meetings)
80
62
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
31
23
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
54 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
26
24
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
50 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
23
15
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
38 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
44.8% (8,775)
+9.1%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
50.6% (844)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
37.8% (880)
+9.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.1% (8,423)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Horvat
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.1%
45.1%
P2
54.5%
43.9%
P3
55.0%
45.2%
OT
49.6%
43.2%
Final 5 min
55.2%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | OT | 01:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 12, 2024 | OT | 00:43 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 1 | 02:34 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |